10 years? Or 3? Different timetables for Iranian nukes

Bloggers are skeptical about this Washington Post article that claims it will be 10 years before Iran has a nuclear bomb.

I'm skeptical, too. Especially since yesterday the Israelis said Iran could have a bomb as early as 2008.

According to the new estimates, Iran will probably have a nuclear bomb by 2012, but could have the capability as early as 2008 "if all goes well for it," a high ranking IDF commander told The Jerusalem Post yesterday.

"We no longer think that a secret military track runs independent of the civilian one," said the officer in an interview at IDF Headquarters in Tel-Aviv. "If it were then they could acquire weapons in 2007... We have changed our estimation. Now we think the military track is dependent on the civilian one. However, from a certain point it will be able to run independently. But not earlier than 2008."

I'll go with the Israelis on this one.