Oscar algorithm

At an Oscar-watching party, Tim McNabb asks himself "What would I vote for if I were a self-righteous politically correct Hollywood liberal, especially if I wanted to tell the red states 'screw you and everything you stand for'"?

It was a remarkably effective predictor, though not perfect:

I should have picked Cate Blanchette for Best Supporting Actress since she portrayed Katherine Hepburn, the very model of the modern feminist, right down to her unashamed cheerleading for abortion without apologies. Instead I picked Laura Linney for her role in Kinsey, a movie celebrating the life of a man who fooled America into believing perversion was mainstream. You can see why I was thrown off.